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Analytical Report for July 2026

Analytical Report for July 2026

Dear Partners,

We are pleased to present the July 2026 Analytical Report prepared by the experts of the Ukrainian Berries Association, along with the key findings on berry exports for the 2025/2026 season.

This report includes:

Weather conditions in Ukraine in July

  • July was milder than in 2025, with an average temperature of 20.7°C (2.4°C lower than last year) and 69 mm of precipitation (13% above normal), creating favorable and moderately humid conditions for berry development and ripening.

Overview of the Ukrainian and EU berry markets in July

  • Blueberries did not reach the usual seasonal price bottom. Spring frosts significantly reduced production volumes, resulting in a tight market and prices fluctuating between UAH 135–600/kg throughout the month instead of the typical midsummer decline.
  • Other major berries reached their seasonal lows: raspberries traded at approximately UAH 170–200/kg, while the strawberry season came to an end.

Analysis of retail berry prices in the EU – climate pressure on competitors

  • In Serbia, the 2026 raspberry harvest is estimated to be 20–30% below normal due to drought.
  • In Poland, the harvest peak coincided with low procurement prices.

Frozen berry export performance in the 2025/2026 season

  • Record raspberry export revenue: €250.8 million in the 2025/2026 season (+65% year-on-year), the highest figure ever recorded.
  • Severe shortage of frozen blueberries (–69% in export volume) and moderate exports of other frozen berries (Eurostat data through May 2026).

Strong international demand

  • The shortage of Serbian raspberries and the uneven situation in the Polish market are creating a favorable pricing window for Ukrainian frozen berry exports in the 2026/2027 season.

Regulatory updates, August weather outlook, and international trade fairs

  • Restoration of the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine.
  • New EU Maximum Residue Level (MRL) for ethephon in blueberries, effective 19 August.
  • Major international trade fairs to support export planning and market development.

The full analytical report is available at the following link.

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The analytical report was prepared by Ukrainian Berries Association with the support of Switzerland within the program Swiss Import Promotion Programme (SIPPO) implemented by the Swiss foundation for technical cooperation Swisscontact.

 

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